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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135114050100150200250154144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave9
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +12
21Coral scored#18
74Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
108Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#9
9L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
154Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.8
59.159.9
Auto14.6
Teleop39.4
End5.1
blue by 0.2
59.30.9
52.353.2
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
Second
42.80.8
42.843.6
Auto8.7
Teleop28.0
End6.1
blue by 0.6
8810
#12
43.40.9
36.337.3
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
Third
7047
#22
16.10.8
16.116.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End0.3
blue by 6.2
9994
#23
22.31.1
13.714.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2