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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15111450100200151155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+16Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points10
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +2
23Coral scored#21
82Coral points74
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
18Processor points24
16Net points16
34Algae points40
116Total teleop114
Reef
12L4#8
8L3#9
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points6
151Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.4
63.563.8
Auto14.5
Teleop42.9
End5.0
red by 6.9
55.51.0
55.256.1
Auto10.4
Teleop37.7
End7.4
Second
56.80.4
57.858.2
Auto11.6
Teleop38.5
End6.7
red by 27.1
9635
#19
29.71.0
29.330.3
Auto5.4
Teleop22.2
End2.1
Third
7002
#26
12.10.4
13.113.5
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
blue by 9.2
8015
#21
21.31.0
21.021.9
Auto6.2
Teleop12.7
End2.4