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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13712150100150200149155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+4Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
7Coral scored#9
33Coral points47
33Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +18
22Coral scored#15
78Coral points54
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
110Total teleop92
Reef
10L4#7
10L3#9
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +6
2Foul points2
149Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.4
63.964.3
Auto21.1
Teleop42.3
End1.4
red by 8.6
56.10.8
54.255.0
Auto19.3
Teleop31.8
End5.1
Second
6766
#10
45.70.4
44.845.3
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End0.9
red by 9.6
9992
#17
36.11.0
33.734.7
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End1.1
Third
6494
#24
19.40.4
18.519.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End0.8
blue by 10.6
5515
#15
30.00.8
28.028.9
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End3.3