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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11811580901001101308780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points10
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
44Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
87Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.7
58.457.7
Auto18.4
Teleop41.1
End3.5
red by 15.6
6940
#16
47.40.5
48.047.4
Auto13.8
Teleop27.4
End6.2
Second
54.60.8
49.148.3
Auto6.0
Teleop40.1
End8.4
red by 13.4
8011
#13
41.20.5
41.841.3
Auto6.8
Teleop29.2
End5.3
Third
6433
#20
14.60.7
10.09.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 0.7
9991
#11
13.90.7
14.614.0
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End5.5