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Qual 142026 FIRST California Northern State Championship
Red310
2073160.7
3257134.0
5507131.4
Blue340
25351.1
971116.2
2813175.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402315100200500600700310340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+41
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +41
22Fuel60
19Tower22
41Total auto82
TeleoperatedRed +11
36Transition24
94Shifts 1–2108
81Shifts 3–467
58Endgame fuel59
269Total teleop258
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
310Total score340
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#11
160.74.5
131.2→126.7
Auto28.3
Teleop132.4
End0.0
blue by 14.6
2813
#10
175.31.6
178.4→180.0
Auto27.6
Teleop147.9
End-0.2
Second
3257
#28
134.04.5
108.4→103.9
Auto40.2
Teleop93.9
End-0.1
red by 17.8
971
#21
116.21.6
79.9→81.5
Auto15.3
Teleop100.9
End-0.0
Third
5507
#25
131.44.5
137.7→133.2
Auto21.5
Teleop110.1
End-0.2
red by 80.3
253
#51
51.11.6
57.3→58.9
Auto19.0
Teleop32.6
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
98%Energized oddsEarned95%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
5%Supercharged oddsMissed16%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed