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Qual 152026 FIRST California Northern State Championship
Red471
581209.5
11494.8
9400105.7
Blue180
630540.1
766794.3
1033927.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4051680100300500600700800471180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+34Auto
+271Teleop
+271Endgame
+291Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
29Fuel18
42Tower19
71Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +237
81Transition12
129Shifts 1–269
109Shifts 3–443
61Endgame fuel19
380Total teleop143
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +291
20Foul points0
471Total score180
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#9
209.56.0
198.1→204.0
Auto44.0
Teleop165.7
End-0.2
red by 115.2
7667
#33
94.30.8
90.5→89.7
Auto19.9
Teleop74.4
End0.1
Second
9400
#32
105.76.0
97.8→103.8
Auto16.5
Teleop89.2
End0.1
red by 65.7
6305
#56
40.10.8
62.5→61.7
Auto13.1
Teleop26.6
End0.4
Third
114
#12
94.86.0
65.5→71.5
Auto23.1
Teleop72.1
End-0.4
red by 67.3
10339
#43
27.50.8
39.4→38.6
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
99%Energized oddsEarned81%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
16%Supercharged oddsEarned3%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed