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Qual 412026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red264
873860.4
3506113.2
4561127.2
Blue81
453481.6
688839.6
872776.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26418110030040050026481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+13Auto
+183Teleop
+183Endgame
+183Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
23Fuel18
16Tower8
39Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +170
39Transition6
72Shifts 1–224
90Shifts 3–414
24Endgame fuel11
225Total teleop55
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +183
0Foul points0
264Total score81
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#4
127.21.3
99.3→100.6
Auto23.4
Teleop103.8
End0.1
red by 45.6
4534
#21
81.67.0
76.0→69.0
Auto16.3
Teleop65.5
End-0.2
Second
3506
#10
113.21.3
108.1→109.4
Auto22.4
Teleop90.9
End-0.1
red by 37.2
8727
#20
76.07.0
65.5→58.6
Auto10.2
Teleop66.3
End-0.4
Third
8738
#19
60.41.3
37.0→38.3
Auto5.7
Teleop55.1
End-0.4
red by 20.8
6888
#34
39.67.0
43.9→36.9
Auto11.3
Teleop28.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
92%Energized oddsEarned62%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed