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Qual 422026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red164
493563.8
689453.4
1137739.1
Blue367
1135327.1
650285.2
9032180.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1593350100200300400500600164367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+203
Endgame+203
Fouls+203
AutonomousBlue +30
16Fuel38
26Tower34
42Total auto72
TeleoperatedBlue +173
20Transition32
42Shifts 1–2100
39Shifts 3–4113
21Endgame fuel50
122Total teleop295
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +203
0Foul points0
164Total score367
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4935
#12
63.80.8
73.0→72.2
Auto8.7
Teleop55.3
End-0.3
blue by 116.9
9032
#2
180.64.4
209.3→213.7
Auto29.3
Teleop151.4
End-0.1
Second
6894
#50
53.40.8
55.4→54.6
Auto11.7
Teleop41.1
End0.6
blue by 31.8
6502
#14
85.24.4
65.2→69.6
Auto15.9
Teleop68.3
End1.1
Third
11377
#46
39.10.8
47.4→46.6
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End0.1
red by 12.0
11353
#41
27.14.4
26.8→31.2
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
42%Energized oddsMissed86%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed5%Supercharged oddsEarned
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed