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Red62
149214.4
181614.4
17148.4
Blue24
118412.4
4335.4
127917.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313902060801006224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
Unranked
14.41.5
11.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1279
Unranked
17.20.8
20.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1492
Unranked
14.41.5
13.214.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1184
Unranked
12.40.7
12.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1714
Unranked
8.41.5
7.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
433
Unranked
5.40.7
5.54.8
Auto
Teleop
End