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Red125
140345.2
114344.2
363733.5
Blue157
108943.9
36561.7
331442.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118154050100200250300350400125157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#17
45.20.0
45.545.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
365
#9
61.70.1
61.661.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
44.20.0
44.644.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1089
#19
43.90.1
43.844.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3637
#29
33.50.0
33.933.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
42.80.1
42.742.8
Auto
Teleop
End