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Red170
219148.8
10340.5
127948.9
Blue218
29360.4
436128.6
19362.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134149050100200250300170218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#12
48.90.6
48.348.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
193
#16
62.11.2
60.561.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2191
#10
48.80.6
48.348.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
293
#3
60.41.2
58.960.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
103
#13
40.50.6
39.940.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
4361
#39
28.61.2
27.128.3
Auto
Teleop
End