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Red101
363733.5
114344.2
140345.2
Blue154
331442.8
108943.9
36561.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118154050100200250300350101154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#17
45.20.4
45.545.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
365
#9
61.70.1
61.861.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
44.20.4
44.644.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1089
#19
43.90.1
44.044.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3637
#29
33.50.4
33.933.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
42.80.1
42.842.9
Auto
Teleop
End