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Red7
498316.7
519313.6
550413.5
Blue11
55604.8
102533.1
471517.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2737050100150711

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.71.9
7.96.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 16.4
33.12.1
17.515.4
Auto1.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
5193
#18
13.61.9
13.511.6
Auto0.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 3.9
4715
#11
17.52.1
10.68.5
Auto0.7
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Third
5504
#16
13.515.8
22.46.6
Auto0.8
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 8.7
5560
#40
4.85.0
11.46.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0