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Red0
36179.0
482715.5
50318.0
Blue13
522415.0
557515.1
508611.3
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47290100150013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#29
18.03.8
22.418.6
Auto0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 3.0
5575
#15
15.18.5
15.46.8
Auto0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Second
4827
#10
15.53.8
11.98.1
Auto0.8
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 0.5
5224
#24
15.01.7
13.311.6
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
3617
#38
9.03.8
11.67.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5086
#27
11.31.7
11.59.8
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0