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Qual 622015 Mexico City Regional
Red18
347216.0
47468.9
228321.7
Blue1
401010.9
460312.5
570513.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41360206080100181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#10
21.71.6
17.3→15.8
Auto0.5
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 8.5
5705
#21
13.21.6
12.0→10.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Second
3472
#23
16.01.6
13.9→12.3
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 3.5
4603
#28
12.51.6
15.1→13.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
4746
#39
8.91.6
10.4→8.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 1.9
4010
#24
10.91.6
10.5→8.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0