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Red26
42629.4
35106.2
352217.9
Blue36
477512.6
458414.3
352715.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283602060801001201402636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.3
16.215.9
Auto0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 2.5
3527
#19
15.30.0
13.313.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Second
4262
#31
9.40.3
9.39.0
Auto0.5
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 4.8
4584
#22
14.30.0
12.412.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
3510
#36
6.20.3
5.14.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0
blue by 6.3
4775
#29
12.60.0
10.810.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0