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Red114
140532.8
403948.5
159112.3
Blue22
145016.0
2034.0
176512.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75660204010012014011422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.9
42.043.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop49.2
End0.0
red by 14.5
20
#28
34.01.8
39.437.6
Auto0.4
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
1405
#11
32.82.7
27.930.6
Auto1.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 16.8
1450
#38
16.01.8
15.313.5
Auto0.0
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
1591
#39
12.32.7
6.69.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Level
1765
#37
12.42.6
15.212.6
Auto1.6
Teleop10.7
End0.0