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Red28
74317.9
151137.1
280912.5
Blue24
318118.0
409315.6
155118.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81410501001502824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.12.5
36.634.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.4
End0.0
red by 18.9
1551
#30
18.21.8
19.918.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Second
743
#40
17.92.5
21.819.3
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 0.1
3181
#36
18.01.8
20.518.6
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
2809
#42
12.53.6
19.315.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4093
#33
15.61.8
8.87.0
Auto1.5
Teleop14.1
End0.0