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Red99
379919.2
317329.7
7310.3
Blue172
315726.5
525457.2
57831.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39105015020025099172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#18
29.72.4
26.328.8
Auto0.2
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 27.5
57.23.7
49.252.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.5
End0.0
Second
3799
#27
19.23.5
15.018.4
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 12.7
578
#7
31.93.7
27.130.7
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
73
#44
10.33.2
9.412.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 16.1
3157
#17
26.55.3
22.227.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0