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Red60
534915.3
222845.7
155930.5
Blue80
37832.8
166023.3
301540.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877902040601001201401606080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.4
43.241.8
Auto0.2
Teleop45.5
End0.0
red by 4.8
3015
#12
40.90.1
32.932.8
Auto0.8
Teleop40.1
End0.0
Second
1559
#15
30.51.9
28.226.2
Auto0.3
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 2.3
378
#16
32.80.1
28.328.2
Auto0.2
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Third
5349
#41
15.31.9
17.315.4
Auto0.8
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 8.0
1660
#22
23.30.1
21.721.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0