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Red79
543310.0
34049.2
17424.8
Blue14
280912.5
2034.0
304429.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70860501502002503003507914

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#10
49.20.2
44.644.8
Auto0.4
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 15.2
20
#28
34.03.6
37.634.0
Auto0.4
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
174
#32
24.80.3
18.218.5
Auto0.4
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 4.3
3044
#26
29.13.6
33.429.7
Auto0.0
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Third
5433
#45
10.00.3
12.012.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 2.5
2809
#42
12.54.8
15.710.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0