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Red92
158516.6
25028.2
279132.0
Blue139
140532.8
409315.6
300344.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70692040608010012092139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#20
32.01.1
28.829.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.0
End0.0
blue by 12.0
44.03.3
35.939.2
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End0.0
Second
250
#21
28.21.1
26.327.3
Auto1.6
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 4.6
1405
#11
32.84.4
30.635.0
Auto1.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
1585
#35
16.61.5
15.116.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 1.0
4093
#33
15.64.4
7.011.3
Auto1.5
Teleop14.1
End0.0