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Red26
263525.1
371123.9
46626.8
Blue82
154021.5
546823.2
151012.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574201001502682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.4
25.525.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.2
End0.0
red by 1.8
23.20.6
19.520.1
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
23.90.4
24.423.9
Auto0.1
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 2.4
1540
#19
21.50.6
17.718.3
Auto0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
4662
#28
6.80.4
7.36.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 5.7
1510
#27
12.50.6
8.79.3
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0