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Red89
154021.5
546823.2
151012.5
Blue105
302412.6
247131.4
404313.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4953010015020089105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.6
21.422.0
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 8.1
31.40.8
30.631.4
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
1540
#19
21.50.6
19.720.3
Auto0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 8.2
4043
#15
13.30.8
12.513.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
1510
#27
12.50.6
10.711.3
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 0.1
3024
#20
12.60.8
11.812.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0