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Red133
460829.1
371135.3
378739.8
Blue82
154028.1
491836.6
546827.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10158015020013382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3787
#33
39.81.7
36.237.9
Auto0.7
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 3.3
4918
#28
36.60.8
25.125.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Second
3711
#38
35.31.7
34.536.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
red by 7.2
1540
#54
28.10.8
22.022.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Third
4608
#39
29.11.7
27.329.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.3
End0.0
red by 1.5
5468
#53
27.60.8
19.920.6
Auto0.3
Teleop27.3
End0.0