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Red122
446942.2
299047.8
491545.2
Blue78
412524.1
263548.4
382630.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116825010015020012278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#13
47.80.4
42.843.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.0
End0.0
blue by 0.6
2635
#23
48.40.6
45.244.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.8
End0.0
Second
45.20.4
34.434.8
Auto0.1
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 15.0
3826
#49
30.30.6
26.626.0
Auto0.4
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
4469
#24
42.20.4
37.537.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 18.1
4125
#63
24.10.6
18.317.7
Auto0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0