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Red102
154028.1
252140.9
378922.8
Blue187
294434.4
214730.4
448884.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551350100150200250102187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#25
40.91.9
34.035.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
blue by 43.5
84.43.0
78.081.0
Auto0.0
Teleop84.3
End0.0
Second
1540
#54
28.11.9
19.921.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.1
End0.0
blue by 6.3
2944
#29
34.43.0
25.828.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Third
3789
#51
22.81.9
15.917.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 7.6
2147
#31
30.43.0
23.726.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.9
End0.0