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Red36
293029.6
29809.5
204626.2
Blue49
30708.7
382622.9
321821.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655702040801001203649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.5
28.627.1
Auto0.6
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 6.7
3826
#10
22.90.6
22.321.7
Auto1.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
2046
#13
26.21.5
25.724.2
Auto1.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 4.6
3218
#19
21.50.6
23.923.3
Auto0.9
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
2980
#22
9.52.3
11.79.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 0.8
3070
#28
8.70.9
14.313.4
Auto0.2
Teleop8.5
End0.0