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Red113
131841.1
491138.8
297621.7
Blue45
454212.4
574815.9
417311.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions943605015020011345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.11.2
34.635.8
Auto2.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
red by 25.2
5748
#17
15.90.1
16.116.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Second
38.81.2
32.533.7
Auto0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 26.4
4542
#27
12.40.1
18.218.1
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
2976
#11
21.71.2
21.322.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 9.8
4173
#23
11.90.1
12.112.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0