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Red48
125812.4
292821.3
29809.5
Blue44
465411.6
30708.7
418022.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43412030506070804844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#15
21.30.2
21.221.4
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 1.1
22.40.1
17.217.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
1258
#26
12.40.3
13.313.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 0.8
4654
#30
11.60.1
11.912.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
2980
#22
9.50.3
9.49.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 0.8
3070
#28
8.70.1
13.413.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.5
End0.0