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Red52
266013.4
491823.8
491138.8
Blue49
281118.0
420526.8
321821.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7564020401001201401605249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.81.2
33.732.6
Auto0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 12.0
26.80.9
26.325.4
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
4918
#12
23.81.2
24.323.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 2.3
3218
#19
21.50.9
23.322.4
Auto0.9
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
2660
#25
13.41.2
17.616.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 4.6
2811
#14
18.00.9
18.017.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0