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Red69
204626.2
417311.9
290316.8
Blue95
406017.0
574815.9
366343.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487701001502002506995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#13
26.20.7
24.224.9
Auto1.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
blue by 17.4
43.61.0
43.644.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop43.6
End0.0
Second
2903
#16
16.80.7
18.018.8
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4060
#18
17.01.4
15.517.0
Auto0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
4173
#23
11.90.7
12.012.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 4.1
5748
#17
15.91.4
16.017.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0