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Red79
590728.1
262029.9
569520.9
Blue109
549822.9
509030.2
605723.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1069240608012014016018079109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.5
31.030.5
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End4.3
blue by 0.3
30.20.3
30.030.3
Auto6.6
Teleop17.8
End5.7
Second
5907
#12
28.10.5
29.328.8
Auto10.4
Teleop13.8
End4.0
red by 5.1
6057
#26
23.00.3
22.823.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.6
End3.3
Third
5695
#13
20.90.5
22.121.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End4.3
blue by 2.0
5498
#21
22.90.3
22.723.0
Auto2.0
Teleop14.8
End6.0