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Octofinal 1-32016 Michigan State Championship
Red157
3356.5
276749.0
168438.4
Blue159
54843.2
504838.0
21746.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196162100150250157159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#10
56.50.8
57.2→56.5
Auto8.8
Teleop37.4
End10.2
red by 10.1
217
#41
46.40.3
46.8→46.4
Auto10.7
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Second
2767
#1
49.00.8
49.7→49.0
Auto10.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
red by 5.7
548
#38
43.20.3
43.7→43.3
Auto11.7
Teleop26.9
End4.6
Third
1684
#46
38.40.8
39.1→38.4
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End6.8
red by 0.3
5048
#25
38.00.3
38.4→38.1
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End9.1