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Red133
584328.4
516731.6
543625.0
Blue136
515036.3
260419.7
436822.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109986080120140160133136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.1
31.531.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End5.0
blue by 4.6
5150
#13
36.30.3
36.136.4
Auto9.1
Teleop21.3
End5.8
Second
28.40.1
28.328.4
Auto9.8
Teleop14.2
End4.4
red by 6.1
4368
#19
22.30.3
22.122.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End4.2
Third
5436
#20
25.00.1
25.025.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End4.1
red by 5.4
19.70.3
19.519.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End3.8