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Red165
353437.7
515537.7
592628.9
Blue123
102533.3
609835.8
609030.8
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12611850100150200165123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.4
36.536.9
Auto11.6
Teleop20.0
End6.1
red by 1.9
35.80.1
35.635.7
Auto12.1
Teleop16.8
End6.9
Second
37.70.4
36.536.9
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End12.5
red by 4.4
1025
#17
33.30.1
33.133.1
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Third
5926
#29
28.90.4
27.628.1
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End9.6
blue by 2.0
6090
#18
30.80.1
30.630.7
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End5.8