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Red166
255741.6
445041.1
406136.3
Blue169
446939.8
36041.6
323843.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14816850100200250166169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#15
41.60.0
41.541.6
Auto7.6
Teleop24.2
End9.8
blue by 2.0
3238
#23
43.60.2
44.344.1
Auto9.0
Teleop29.7
End4.9
Second
41.10.0
41.141.1
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End7.8
blue by 0.5
360
#5
41.60.2
42.442.2
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End5.0
Third
4061
#25
36.30.0
36.236.3
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.0
blue by 3.5
39.80.2
40.540.4
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.1