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Qual 692016 Tesla Division
Red82
18135.5
490532.3
572623.5
Blue117
46143.6
60424.9
493033.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9910440608012014082117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#44
35.51.0
36.9→36.0
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
blue by 8.1
461
#29
43.60.8
43.9→44.7
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End4.9
Second
4905
#37
32.31.0
32.8→31.8
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End5.0
blue by 1.5
4930
#49
33.80.8
33.8→34.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Third
5726
#41
23.51.0
27.0→26.0
Auto7.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
blue by 1.4
604
#55
24.90.8
22.5→23.3
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
36%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed