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Red306
1072150.2
1323230.9
3476207.4
Blue403
2976167.9
148226.5
254253.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337419100200300500600700306403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
Unranked
230.90.2
230.5230.6
Auto27.1
Teleop165.7
End36.6
blue by 22.1
254
Unranked
253.00.3
254.5254.2
Auto28.0
Teleop175.4
End47.0
Second
3476
Unranked
207.40.2
206.7207.0
Auto25.0
Teleop144.5
End37.1
blue by 19.1
148
Unranked
226.50.4
228.5228.1
Auto23.8
Teleop169.5
End30.8
Third
1072
Unranked
150.20.3
150.7150.5
Auto20.7
Teleop117.7
End10.6
blue by 17.7
2976
Unranked
167.90.1
167.8167.9
Auto19.8
Teleop134.6
End12.5