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Red44
139121.4
8711.9
48614.2
Blue46
83422.6
48415.2
45759.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41423545504446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.4
14.414.8
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End7.0
blue by 1.1
834
#7
22.60.7
15.516.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.6
End4.6
Second
486
#28
14.20.6
13.814.4
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End5.3
blue by 1.0
484
#8
15.20.7
12.613.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End4.1
Third
87
#24
11.90.6
10.210.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 2.1
4575
#23
9.80.7
11.712.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed