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Red34
164020.1
4237.2
137016.2
Blue66
36519.3
540423.7
392915.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42491020306070803466

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#27
20.10.6
17.416.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End2.5
blue by 3.6
23.72.2
18.220.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.8
End8.1
Second
1370
#18
16.20.6
10.39.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 3.1
365
#14
19.32.2
16.318.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End4.9
Third
423
#32
7.20.6
11.911.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.0
blue by 8.0
3929
#21
15.21.3
11.713.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed