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Red29
48614.2
31515.9
116813.6
Blue72
8711.9
27217.3
463815.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041303545505560652972

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#28
14.21.0
14.413.4
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End5.3
blue by 3.1
272
#12
17.30.8
13.514.2
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Second
1168
#19
13.61.0
13.512.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 2.2
4638
#17
15.80.8
14.715.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End3.9
Third
3151
#26
5.91.0
10.19.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End1.8
blue by 6.0
87
#24
11.90.8
10.811.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed