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Red145
297452.3
177162.7
332915.4
Blue75
445921.2
381515.1
809421.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15049010020025014575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.4
59.860.3
Auto19.2
Teleop17.8
End25.8
red by 41.2
8094
#22
21.50.4
21.021.4
Auto5.9
Teleop-0.7
End16.4
Second
52.30.4
49.449.9
Auto21.4
Teleop21.7
End9.3
red by 31.1
4459
#18
21.20.4
20.621.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.3
End8.0
Third
3329
#24
15.40.4
12.513.0
Auto6.1
Teleop2.6
End6.7
red by 0.3
3815
#10
15.10.5
14.514.9
Auto5.0
Teleop-0.5
End10.6