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Red180
297452.3
177162.7
332915.4
Blue63
445921.2
381515.1
809421.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15150010020025018063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.9
60.361.2
Auto19.2
Teleop17.8
End25.8
red by 41.2
8094
#22
21.50.1
21.421.5
Auto5.9
Teleop-0.7
End16.4
Second
52.30.9
49.950.8
Auto21.4
Teleop21.7
End9.3
red by 31.1
4459
#18
21.20.1
21.021.2
Auto6.9
Teleop6.3
End8.0
Third
3329
#24
15.40.9
13.013.9
Auto6.1
Teleop2.6
End6.7
red by 0.3
3815
#10
15.10.1
14.915.1
Auto5.0
Teleop-0.5
End10.6