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Red166
13360.6
490540.2
615332.2
Blue115
669131.4
804636.7
13133.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15410550200250166115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#5
60.60.4
60.360.7
Auto16.4
Teleop17.4
End26.8
red by 24.0
8046
#11
36.70.3
36.336.7
Auto13.1
Teleop4.7
End18.9
Second
40.20.4
39.940.4
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End23.5
red by 7.1
131
#17
33.10.3
32.833.1
Auto11.5
Teleop17.4
End4.2
Third
6153
#32
32.20.5
31.832.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.4
End13.9
red by 0.7
6691
#22
31.40.3
31.131.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End14.3