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Red200
403951.5
61060.9
632328.1
Blue77
299445.1
686725.2
773531.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1541105020025030020077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#5
60.91.2
58.459.5
Auto23.5
Teleop21.8
End15.6
red by 15.8
2994
#14
45.10.7
46.145.3
Auto11.1
Teleop13.9
End20.1
Second
4039
#12
51.51.2
49.050.1
Auto15.2
Teleop19.4
End16.9
red by 20.6
7735
#20
31.00.7
31.931.2
Auto9.5
Teleop8.7
End12.8
Third
6323
#25
28.11.3
25.226.5
Auto12.3
Teleop6.5
End9.3
red by 2.9
25.20.7
26.125.4
Auto13.4
Teleop3.8
End8.0