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Red206
220077.5
18874.9
808920.4
Blue165
403951.5
61060.9
632328.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192149100250300206165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.50.4
75.676.0
Auto18.1
Teleop31.3
End28.1
red by 16.6
610
#5
60.90.6
60.360.9
Auto23.5
Teleop21.8
End15.6
Second
188
#1
74.90.4
73.073.4
Auto25.4
Teleop24.7
End24.8
red by 23.3
4039
#12
51.50.6
51.051.5
Auto15.2
Teleop19.4
End16.9
Third
8089
#29
20.40.4
18.518.9
Auto6.7
Teleop5.7
End8.0
blue by 7.7
6323
#25
28.10.6
27.428.1
Auto12.3
Teleop6.5
End9.3