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Red138
108938.5
22235.2
218023.7
Blue57
255425.3
201630.2
192334.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109905015020025030013857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
Unranked
38.50.0
38.538.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.8
End12.9
red by 3.9
1923
Unranked
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto11.6
Teleop8.5
End14.4
Second
222
Unranked
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto11.9
Teleop8.7
End14.6
red by 4.9
2016
Unranked
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto10.2
Teleop4.5
End15.5
Third
2180
Unranked
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto8.4
Teleop5.4
End9.9
blue by 1.6
2554
Unranked
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End10.5