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Red52
127927.5
10229.6
255912.5
Blue84
255425.3
201630.2
192334.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310502003004005006007005284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
Unranked
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.0
Teleop7.3
End12.3
blue by 5.0
1923
Unranked
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto11.6
Teleop8.5
End14.4
Second
1279
Unranked
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto9.3
Teleop6.8
End11.4
blue by 2.8
2016
Unranked
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto10.2
Teleop4.5
End15.5
Third
2559
Unranked
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.6
blue by 12.8
2554
Unranked
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End10.5