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Red147
108938.5
22235.2
218023.7
Blue108
2532.5
465327.9
465219.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11285050150200250300350147108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
Unranked
38.50.0
38.538.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.8
End12.9
red by 6.0
25
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto10.9
Teleop8.0
End13.5
Second
222
Unranked
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto11.9
Teleop8.7
End14.6
red by 7.3
4653
Unranked
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto9.4
Teleop6.9
End11.6
Third
2180
Unranked
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto8.4
Teleop5.4
End9.9
red by 4.5
4652
Unranked
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.8
End8.0